Prediction of Alex De Minaur [7th] vs Rafael Nadal [173rd] Head-to-Head At The 1970
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
W L W W L W W W L W
Form
L L W W W W L W L LHead-To-Head: Minaur 2 - 4 Nadal
They have played 16 sets in total, with Minaur winning 5 and Nadal winning 11. The last match between Minaur and Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 27-04-2024, Second, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 7-6(6) 6-3.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 2 |
| Rafael Nadal | 4 |
| Minaur | Stats | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| 75% (21-7) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
| 2 | Head-to-Head | 4 |
| 7 | Ranking | 173 |
| 6 | Highest Rank | 1 |
| 26 | Age | 38 |
| R | Plays | L |
| 11 | Titles | 94 |
| 64% (386-215) | Career Total W/L | 82% (1124-244) |
| $11,546,085 | Career Prize Money | $96,585,210 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 1 | Hard H2H | 2 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 1 |
| 0 | Indoor H2H | 0 |
| 0 | Grass H2H | 1 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-6(6) 6-3 |
Stats 
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve %
66%
(
44 of
67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
26 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
62
|
||||
| 7-5 6-1 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
||||
| 3-6 6-1 7-5 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
| 4-6 7-5 6-1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73%
(
61 of
84)
1st Serve %
73%
(
55 of
75)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
79%
(
48 of
61)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
43%
(
10 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
31%
(
26 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
28 of
75)
86
Total Points Won
73
|
||||
| 6-1 6-2 6-4 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
75%
(
65 of
87)
1st Serve %
57%
(
54 of
94)
6
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
82%
(
53 of
65)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
34 of
54)
36%
(
8 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
16 of
40)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
30%
(
26 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
44 of
94)
105
Total Points Won
76
|
||||
| 6-1 6-2 6-4 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
58%
(
44 of
76)
1st Serve %
56%
(
43 of
77)
5
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
5
77%
(
34 of
44)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
26 of
43)
72%
(
23 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
17 of
34)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
25%
(
19 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
34 of
77)
91
Total Points Won
62
|
||||
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches | 4 |
| 5 | Sets Won | 11 |
| 64 | Games Won | 84 |
| 24 | Aces (Total) | 18 |
| 20 | Total Double Faults | 17 |
| 2:12:22 | Average Match Time | 2:12:22 |
| 61% (286/467) | 1st Serve % | 68% (321/474) |
| 65% (186/286) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (230/321) |
| 50% (91/181) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (74/153) |
| 42% (15/36) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 46% (23/50) |
| 35% (164/474) | Return Points Win % | 40% (188/467) |
| 50% (2/4) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 50% (2/4) |
| 0% (0/2) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/1) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 100% (1/1) |
| 50% (1/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 50% (2/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 75% (4/3) |
| 50% (2/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 25% (4/1) |
| 25% (4/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 50% (2/1) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Minaur 2 - 4 Nadal
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Minaur has won 43.66% of points on their second serve, while Nadal has won 43.33%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Minaur, in recent form, has won 42.34% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 61.9%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.29% and 22.22% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Minaur has saved 46.95% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Minaur has won 68.66% of matches played (W/L 46/ 21), with Nadal winning 58.82% (W/L 10/ 7) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 51/ 23), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 69/ 52). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 511/ 59), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 39).
- Player level: In the last year, Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 72% of matches (W/L 18/ 7), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.43% of matches (W/L 5/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Minaur winning 2 times and Nadal being victorious 4 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Minaur winning 5 and Nadal winning 11. The last match between Minaur and Nadal was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 27-04-2024, Second, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 7-6(6) 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:12:22.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Minaur and Nadal have played a deciding set 2 times, with Minaur winning 1 times and Nadal 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Minaur winning 0, and Nadal 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 114.69 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 118.12.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Minaur has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Minaur has converted 34.12% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 33.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve %
52%
(
26 of
50)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
83%
(
33 of
40)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
21 of
26)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
15 of
24)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
12 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
28%
(
14 of
50)
54
Total Points Won
48
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alex De Minaur
67%
(
62 of
93)
1st Serve %
52%
(
49 of
94)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
60%
(
37 of
62)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
36 of
49)
39%
(
12 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
18 of
45)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
47%
(
44 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
40 of
94)
89
Total Points Won
98
|
1-6 6-4 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
52%
(
16 of
31)
1st Serve %
59%
(
19 of
32)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
75%
(
12 of
16)
1st Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
7 of
31)
Rtn Points Won
75%
(
24 of
32)
48
Total Points Won
15
|
6-0 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
52%
(
24 of
46)
1st Serve %
56%
(
29 of
52)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
58%
(
14 of
24)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
6 of
23)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
43%
(
20 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
59
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tomas Machac
53%
(
42 of
80)
1st Serve %
63%
(
47 of
75)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
79%
(
33 of
42)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
33 of
47)
53%
(
20 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
27 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
85
Total Points Won
70
|
3-6 6-0 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Alex De Minaur
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve %
63%
(
41 of
65)
7
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
3
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
25 of
41)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
15 of
24)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
39%
(
33 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
25 of
65)
77
Total Points Won
73
|
6-3 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Joao Fonseca
55%
(
54 of
99)
1st Serve %
66%
(
61 of
92)
1
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
38 of
54)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
42 of
61)
62%
(
28 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
33%
(
33 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
36 of
92)
102
Total Points Won
89
|
5-7 7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Bu Yunchaokete
67%
(
32 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
40 of
65)
5
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
1
88%
(
28 of
32)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
30 of
40)
75%
(
12 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
8 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
24 of
65)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Alex De Minaur
58%
(
45 of
78)
1st Serve %
51%
(
34 of
67)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
60%
(
27 of
45)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
22 of
34)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
9 of
33)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
42%
(
33 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
36 of
67)
81
Total Points Won
64
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Hubert Hurkacz
41%
(
20 of
49)
1st Serve %
58%
(
25 of
43)
2
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
16 of
20)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
66%
(
19 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
29%
(
14 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
22 of
43)
57
Total Points Won
35
|
6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
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Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubber 1 |
Stats
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
58%
(
42 of
72)
8
Aces
2
9
Double Faults
3
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
38%
(
8 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
35%
(
23 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
31 of
72)
74
Total Points Won
64
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve %
72%
(
42 of
58)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
79%
(
23 of
29)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
23 of
42)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
28 of
56)
63
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marton Fucsovics
73%
(
67 of
92)
1st Serve %
64%
(
53 of
83)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
47 of
67)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
33 of
53)
58%
(
15 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
83)
97
Total Points Won
78
|
6-1 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Nuno Borges
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve %
68%
(
38 of
56)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
67%
(
22 of
33)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
19 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
31 of
56)
65
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Duje Ajdukovic
80%
(
63 of
79)
1st Serve %
49%
(
39 of
80)
0
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
5
62%
(
39 of
63)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
25 of
39)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
18 of
41)
100%
(
6 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
5 of
10)
38%
(
30 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
37 of
80)
86
Total Points Won
73
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Mariano Navone
64%
(
78 of
121)
1st Serve %
64%
(
90 of
141)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
62%
(
48 of
78)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
46 of
90)
40%
(
17 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
24 of
51)
48%
(
10 of
21)
Break Points Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
46%
(
56 of
121)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
71 of
141)
136
Total Points Won
126
|
6-7(2) 7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Cameron Norrie
72%
(
43 of
60)
1st Serve %
72%
(
44 of
61)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
74%
(
32 of
43)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
28 of
44)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
17 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
25 of
61)
68
Total Points Won
53
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Leo Borg
74%
(
39 of
53)
1st Serve %
61%
(
34 of
56)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
82%
(
32 of
39)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
25 of
34)
64%
(
9 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
12 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
20 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77%
(
72 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
78 of
111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72%
(
52 of
72)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
45 of
78)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
33%
(
6 of
18)
Break Points Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
50 of
111)
112
Total Points Won
92
|
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54%
(
30 of
56)
1st Serve %
72%
(
38 of
53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83%
(
25 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
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Where To Watch Minaur vs Nadal?
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64% (386/215) | Win/Loss | 82% (1124/244) |
| 61% (916/598) | Sets Win/Loss | 77% (2696/825) |
| 54% (7686/6609) | Games Win/Loss | 59% (19730/13449) |
| 0.29 | Aces Per Game | 0.24 |
| 2059 | Aces Total | 3839 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.12 |
| 1498 | Total Double Faults | 2000 |
| 1:44:35 | Average Match Time | 1:7:13 |
| 127.69 | Average Opponent Rank | 79.46 |
| 59% (25213/43057) | 1st Serve % | 68% (58555/86368) |
| 70% (17756/25230) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (42361/58544) |
| 53% (9525/17859) | 2nd Serve Win % | 57% (15931/27857) |
| 43% (1891/4395) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 45% (4679/10428) |
| 40% (17899/44445) | Return Points Win % | 42% (38917/92075) |
| 64% (317/497) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 80% (775/968) |
| 65% (64/98) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 88% (338/384) |
| 56% (120/216) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 61% (276/452) |
| 58% (103/177) | Deciding Set Win % | 68% (199/291) |
| 88% (365/320) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 94% (1049/990) |
| 12% (365/45) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 5% (1049/57) |
| 28% (236/66) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 41% (319/132) |
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